Nationals at Giants
Last play · Matt Chapman pops out to second baseman Nasim Nuñez.
Win probability
Giants0%
WSH 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 3 – 2 SF
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jung Hoo Lee doubles (15) on a ground ball to right fielder James Wood. Rafael Devers scores. Luis Arraez scores. (inning 5) — +28% Giants
9Bryce Eldridge homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.6–3
9Daylen Lile triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. CJ Abrams scores.6–2
7Daylen Lile walks. James Wood scores. Andrés Chaparro to 3rd. Dylan Crews to 2nd.5–2
7Dylan Crews walks.4–2
5Jung Hoo Lee doubles (15) on a ground ball to right fielder James Wood. Rafael Devers scores. Luis Arraez scores.3–2
5James Wood singles on a ground ball to left fielder Casey Schmitt. Jacob Young scores.3–0
1Luis García Jr. homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. James Wood scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
