Athletics at Giants
Last play · Henry Bolte strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Giants100%
ATH 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 1 – 2 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 50.1% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-114 / -105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Max Muncy singles on a ground ball to left fielder Casey Schmitt. Colby Thomas scores. (inning 3) — -14% Athletics
7Rafael Devers singles on a ground ball to center fielder Henry Bolte. Bryce Eldridge scores. Casey Schmitt to 2nd.1–3
3Max Muncy singles on a ground ball to left fielder Casey Schmitt. Colby Thomas scores.1–2
2Matt Chapman singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Willy Adames scores. Matt Chapman out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Tyler Soderstrom to second baseman Zack Gelof.0–2
2Jung Hoo Lee homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
