Athletics at Giants
Last play · Drew Gilbert lines out to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom.
Win probability
Giants0%
ATH 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 2 – 1 SF
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.2% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+118 / -142
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jung Hoo Lee triples (3) on a line drive to center fielder Henry Bolte. Bryce Eldridge scores. Casey Schmitt scores. Willy Adames scores. (inning 6) — +46% Giants
9Max Muncy singles on a fly ball to left fielder Victor Bericoto. Jonah Heim scores. Lawrence Butler scores.9–6
9Lawrence Butler singles on a line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Tyler Soderstrom scores. Jonah Heim to 3rd.7–6
9Jonah Heim singles on a ground ball to left fielder Victor Bericoto. Henry Bolte scores. Tyler Soderstrom to 2nd.6–6
8Jeff McNeil singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Lawrence Butler scores.5–6
7Shea Langeliers singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jonah Cox. Jeff McNeil scores. Alika Williams scores. Nick Kurtz to 2nd.4–6
6Victor Bericoto homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Jung Hoo Lee scores.2–6
6Jung Hoo Lee triples (3) on a line drive to center fielder Henry Bolte. Bryce Eldridge scores. Casey Schmitt scores. Willy Adames scores.2–4
5Nick Kurtz grounds into a force out, second baseman Casey Schmitt to shortstop Willy Adames. Alika Williams scores. Henry Bolte out at 2nd. Nick Kurtz to 1st.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
