Braves at Giants
Last play · Luis Arraez grounds out, pitcher Raisel Iglesias to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Giants0%
ATL 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 3 – 1 SF
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.2% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+108 / -130
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ozzie Albies singles on a line drive to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Mauricio Dubón scores. (inning 3) — -14% Braves
5Ozzie Albies out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Mauricio Dubón scores.3–1
3Ozzie Albies singles on a line drive to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Mauricio Dubón scores.2–1
2Dominic Smith singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Austin Riley scores.1–1
1Rafael Devers doubles (24) on a fly ball to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Casey Schmitt scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
