Blue Jays at Giants
Last play · Alejandro Kirk flies out to right fielder Heliot Ramos.
Win probability
Giants100%
TOR 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 0 – 3 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 49% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-118 / -102
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Heliot Ramos triples (3) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Heliot Ramos scores. Throwing error by shortstop Andrés Giménez. (inning 1) — +13% Giants
8Heliot Ramos homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Bryce Eldridge scores.1–10
6Heliot Ramos homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Willy Adames scores. Victor Bericoto scores.1–8
6Victor Bericoto singles on a line drive to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Rafael Devers scores. Jung Hoo Lee scores. Willy Adames to 3rd.1–5
6Kazuma Okamoto homers (20) on a fly ball to left center field.1–3
5Casey Schmitt called out on strikes.0–3
4Willy Adames grounds into a double play, shortstop Andrés Giménez to second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Rafael Devers scores. Jung Hoo Lee out at 2nd. Willy Adames out at 1st.0–2
1Heliot Ramos triples (3) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Heliot Ramos scores. Throwing error by shortstop Andrés Giménez.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
