Blue Jays at Giants
Last play · Rafael Devers pops out to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Win probability
Giants0%
TOR 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 5 – 0 SF
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +104
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Kazuma Okamoto hits a grand slam (21) to right field. Nathan Lukes scores. George Springer scores. Daulton Varsho scores. (inning 1) — -25% Blue Jays
9George Springer homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.10–0
9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (5) on a line drive to center field. Nathan Lukes scores.9–0
8Andrés Giménez singles on a ground ball to shortstop Willy Adames. Kazuma Okamoto scores. Myles Straw to 2nd.7–0
8Myles Straw grounds into a force out, shortstop Willy Adames to second baseman Luis Arraez. Daulton Varsho scores. Kazuma Okamoto to 3rd. Alejandro Kirk out at 2nd. Myles Straw to 1st. Myles Straw advances to 1st, on a missed catch error by first baseman Rafael Devers, assist to second baseman Luis Arraez.6–0
1Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Kazuma Okamoto hits a grand slam (21) to right field. Nathan Lukes scores. George Springer scores. Daulton Varsho scores.5–0
1Daulton Varsho singles on a fly ball to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Ernie Clement scores. Nathan Lukes to 3rd. George Springer to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
