Rockies at Giants
COL2–
SF8Last play · Edouard Julien challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Edouard Julien called out on strikes.
Win probability
Giants100%
COL 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 2 – 4 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+129 / -156
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willi Castro homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Hunter Goodman scores. (inning 4) — -26% Rockies
8Willy Adames homers (15) on a fly ball to left field. Rafael Devers scores.2–8
8Rafael Devers hits a ground-rule double (25) on a ground ball to right field. Casey Schmitt scores.2–6
8Casey Schmitt doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Luis Arraez scores.2–5
5Rafael Devers singles on a fly ball to right fielder Tyler Freeman. Heliot Ramos scores. Luis Arraez to 3rd. Casey Schmitt to 2nd.2–4
5Luis Arraez doubles (21) on a ground ball to right fielder Tyler Freeman. Drew Cavanaugh scores. Heliot Ramos to 3rd.2–3
4Bryce Eldridge homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.2–2
4Willi Castro homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Hunter Goodman scores.2–1
1Casey Schmitt homers (18) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.