Rockies at Giants
Last play · Bryce Eldridge grounds out, second baseman Edouard Julien to first baseman Troy Johnston.
Win probability
Giants0%
COL 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 1 SF
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+123 / -149
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Karros singles on a ground ball to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Mickey Moniak scores. Troy Johnston scores. Jake McCarthy to 3rd. (inning 9) — -71% Rockies
9Rafael Devers out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Grant McCray scores.4–3
9Cole Carrigg out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Grant McCray. Jake McCarthy scores.4–2
9Kyle Karros singles on a ground ball to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Mickey Moniak scores. Troy Johnston scores. Jake McCarthy to 3rd.3–2
7Rafael Devers singles on a ground ball to right fielder Tyler Freeman. Luis Arraez scores. Casey Schmitt to 3rd.1–2
5Jake McCarthy doubles (18) on a line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Ezequiel Tovar scores.1–1
2Rafael Devers homers (19) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
