Angels at Giants
Last play · Jorge Soler grounds out, third baseman Christian Koss to first baseman Casey Schmitt.
Win probability
Giants100%
LAA 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 9 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 50.2% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+113 / -136
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jung Hoo Lee homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Rafael Devers scores. Casey Schmitt scores. (inning 3) — +14% Giants
9Vaughn Grissom walks. Jose Siri scores. Logan O'Hoppe to 3rd. Josh Lowe to 2nd.2–9
7Mike Trout grounds into a double play, shortstop Willy Adames to second baseman Luis Arraez to first baseman Rafael Devers. Jose Siri scores. Logan O'Hoppe to 3rd. Zach Neto out at 2nd. Mike Trout out at 1st.1–9
4Rafael Devers homers (22) on a line drive to left center field. Daniel Susac scores. Luis Arraez scores.0–9
4Luis Arraez singles on a line drive to left fielder Jose Siri. Drew Gilbert scores. Daniel Susac to 2nd.0–6
3Jung Hoo Lee homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Rafael Devers scores. Casey Schmitt scores.0–5
3Casey Schmitt singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Heliot Ramos scores. Rafael Devers to 2nd.0–2
3Rafael Devers singles on a line drive to left fielder Jose Siri. Luis Arraez scores. Heliot Ramos to 3rd. Fielding error by left fielder Jose Siri.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
