Angels at Giants
Last play · Rafael Devers singles. Jesus Rodriguez scores. Luis Arraez to 3rd. Bryce Eldridge to 2nd.
Win probability
Giants100%
LAA 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 4 – 5 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 50.2% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+113 / -136
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vaughn Grissom homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Jorge Soler scores. (inning 8) — -34% Angels
10Rafael Devers singles. Jesus Rodriguez scores. Luis Arraez to 3rd. Bryce Eldridge to 2nd.6–7
8Vaughn Grissom homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Jorge Soler scores.6–6
7Daniel Susac out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Wade Meckler. Grant McCray scores.4–6
5Mike Trout out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Tyler Heineman scores.4–5
5Tyler Heineman triples (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Jo Adell scores. Denzer Guzman scores.3–5
3Casey Schmitt homers (21) on a fly ball to left field. Bryce Eldridge scores. Rafael Devers scores.1–5
1Rafael Devers homers (21) on a fly ball to left field. Bryce Eldridge scores.1–2
1Nolan Schanuel singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Zach Neto scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
