Angels at Giants
Last play · Heliot Ramos called out on strikes.
Win probability
Giants0%
LAA 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 4 – 1 SF
Angels led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 49.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-126 / +104
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jo Adell homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Nolan Schanuel scores. (inning 4) — -17% Angels
9Luis Arraez doubles (23) on a fly ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Willy Adames scores. Drew Cavanaugh scores.4–3
5Luis Arraez grounds into a force out, second baseman Vaughn Grissom to shortstop Zach Neto. Willy Adames scores. Drew Cavanaugh out at 2nd. Throwing error by shortstop Zach Neto.4–1
4Jo Adell homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Nolan Schanuel scores.4–0
4Jorge Soler homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.2–0
1Jorge Soler grounds into a force out, shortstop Willy Adames to second baseman Luis Arraez. Mike Trout scores. Vaughn Grissom out at 2nd. Jorge Soler to 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
