Brewers at Giants
Last play · Drew Cavanaugh grounds into a double play, second baseman Brice Turang to shortstop Cooper Pratt to first baseman Andrew Vaughn. Grant McCray out at 2nd. Drew Cavanaugh out at 1st.
Win probability
Giants0%
MIL 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 5 – 0 SF
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-109 / -111
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brice Turang singles on a line drive to center fielder Grant McCray. Garrett Mitchell scores. Cooper Pratt scores. David Hamilton to 2nd. (inning 4) — -17% Brewers
8Bryce Eldridge homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Luis Arraez scores.8–2
8Jackson Chourio grounds out, shortstop Willy Adames to first baseman Rafael Devers. David Hamilton scores. Brice Turang to 2nd.8–0
7Luis Lara triples (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Christian Yelich scores. Andrew Vaughn scores.7–0
5Luis Lara grounds into a force out, second baseman Luis Arraez to shortstop Willy Adames. William Contreras scores. Andrew Vaughn out at 2nd. Luis Lara to 1st.5–0
4Brice Turang singles on a line drive to center fielder Grant McCray. Garrett Mitchell scores. Cooper Pratt scores. David Hamilton to 2nd.4–0
4Cooper Pratt singles on a fly ball to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Luis Lara scores. Garrett Mitchell to 3rd.2–0
3Jackson Chourio singles on a line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Cooper Pratt scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
