Brewers at Giants
MIL3–
SF16Last play · Jake Bauers grounds out, first baseman Bryce Eldridge to pitcher Keaton Winn.
Win probability
Giants100%
MIL 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 2 – 3 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-109 / -111
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Daniel Susac homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Jung Hoo Lee scores. Willy Adames scores. (inning 2) — +26% Giants
8Drew Cavanaugh singles on a ground ball to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Bryce Eldridge scores. Heliot Ramos to 2nd.3–16
8Heliot Ramos singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Christian Koss scores. Bryce Eldridge to 3rd.3–15
8Daniel Susac homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.3–14
7Jung Hoo Lee singles on a fly ball to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Bryce Eldridge scores. Heliot Ramos to 2nd.3–13
7Bryce Eldridge grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Brice Turang. Christian Koss scores. Luis Arraez out at 2nd. Bryce Eldridge to 1st.3–12
7Luis Arraez singles on a line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Drew Gilbert scores. Christian Koss to 3rd.3–11
7Brice Turang singles on a ground ball to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Luis Lara scores. Andrew Vaughn to 3rd. Cooper Pratt to 2nd.3–10
6Jung Hoo Lee doubles (23) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Luis Lara. Heliot Ramos scores. Rafael Devers scores.2–10
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.