Tigers at Giants
Last play · Eduardo Valencia flies out sharply to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee.
Win probability
Giants100%
DET 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 2 – 5 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-114 / +106
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rafael Devers homers (24) on a fly ball to center field. Jung Hoo Lee scores. (inning 1) — +22% Giants
5Willy Adames homers (19) on a fly ball to left field.2–5
2Jung Hoo Lee singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Max Clark. Drew Gilbert scores. Osleivis Basabe scores. Bryce Eldridge to 2nd.2–4
2Zach McKinstry singles on a line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Spencer Torkelson scores.2–2
1Rafael Devers homers (24) on a fly ball to center field. Jung Hoo Lee scores.1–2
1Dillon Dingler grounds into a force out, third baseman Christian Koss to second baseman Osleivis Basabe. Kevin McGonigle scores. Gleyber Torres out at 2nd. Dillon Dingler to 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
