Tigers at Giants
Last play · Bryce Eldridge strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Giants0%
DET 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 0 – 0 SF
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +116
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Hao-Yu Lee singles on a line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Riley Greene scores. (inning 10) — -28% Tigers
10Max Clark grounds into a force out, fielded by shortstop Willy Adames. Hao-Yu Lee scores. Spencer Torkelson out at 2nd. Max Clark to 1st.3–1
10Hao-Yu Lee singles on a line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Riley Greene scores.2–1
7Drew Gilbert reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Colt Keith. Osleivis Basabe scores.1–1
6Gleyber Torres grounds into a double play, shortstop Willy Adames to second baseman Osleivis Basabe to first baseman Rafael Devers. Zach McKinstry scores. Kevin McGonigle out at 2nd. Gleyber Torres out at 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
