Tigers at Giants
Last play · Nate Furman grounds out, second baseman Hao-Yu Lee to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
Win probability
Giants0%
DET 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 0 – 0 SF
Tied through 5
Total runs
8
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-114 / +106
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Torkelson walks. Gleyber Torres scores. Dillon Dingler to 3rd. Colt Keith to 2nd. (inning 6) — -14% Tigers
9Max Clark grounds into a force out, first baseman Buddy Kennedy to shortstop Osleivis Basabe. Ben Malgeri scores. Spencer Torkelson out at 2nd. Max Clark to 1st.8–0
7Javier Báez singles on a ground ball to shortstop Willy Adames. Max Clark scores.7–0
7Max Clark triples (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Eduardo Valencia scores.6–0
7Eduardo Valencia doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Dillon Dingler scores. Riley Greene scores.5–0
7Dillon Dingler doubles (23) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Eddys Leonard. Kevin McGonigle scores.3–0
7Kevin McGonigle singles on a line drive to left fielder Eddys Leonard. Zach McKinstry scores. Kevin McGonigle to 2nd.2–0
6Spencer Torkelson walks. Gleyber Torres scores. Dillon Dingler to 3rd. Colt Keith to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
