Rockies at Giants
Last play · Jung Hoo Lee pops out to third baseman Willi Castro in foul territory.
Win probability
Giants0%
COL 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 2 – 1 SF
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 50.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -167
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Zac Veen homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Connor Norby scores. (inning 6) — -24% Rockies
9Rafael Devers doubles (28) on a ground ball to left fielder Mickey Moniak. Jonah Cox scores.5–2
9Willi Castro out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Victor Bericoto. Brett Sullivan scores. Mickey Moniak to 2nd. Throwing error by left fielder Victor Bericoto.5–1
6Zac Veen homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Connor Norby scores.4–1
5Mickey Moniak reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Christian Koss. Brett Sullivan scores.2–1
4Bryce Eldridge homers (13) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
4Troy Johnston triples (1) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. TJ Rumfield scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
