Rockies at Giants
Last play · Willi Castro flies out to center fielder Drew Gilbert.
Win probability
Giants100%
COL 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 7 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 50.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -167
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Drew Gilbert singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Drew Cavanaugh scores. Buddy Kennedy scores. Christian Koss to 3rd. (inning 4) — +17% Giants
4Bryce Eldridge singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Rafael Devers scores.1–7
4Rafael Devers hits a ground-rule double (29) on a fly ball down the left-field line. Christian Koss scores. Drew Gilbert to 3rd.1–5
4Drew Gilbert singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Drew Cavanaugh scores. Buddy Kennedy scores. Christian Koss to 3rd.1–4
4Turner Hill out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Jung Hoo Lee scores.1–2
3Drew Gilbert homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
3Cole Carrigg singles on a ground ball to left fielder Turner Hill. Ezequiel Tovar scores. Jake McCarthy to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
