Reds at Giants
Last play · JJ Bleday pops out to shortstop Christian Koss.
Win probability
Giants100%
CIN 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 0 – 5 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 50.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-101 / -106
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rafael Devers homers (27) on a fly ball to right center field. Christian Koss scores. Drew Gilbert scores. (inning 2) — +15% Giants
2Rafael Devers homers (27) on a fly ball to right center field. Christian Koss scores. Drew Gilbert scores.0–5
1Turner Hill doubles (3) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder JJ Bleday. Rafael Devers scores. Jung Hoo Lee out at home on the throw, right fielder JJ Bleday to second baseman Matt McLain to catcher Jose Trevino.0–2
1Jung Hoo Lee singles on a line drive to center fielder Dane Myers. Drew Gilbert scores. Rafael Devers to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
