Rockies at Giants
COL13–
SF7Last play · Drew Cavanaugh grounds out softly, pitcher Zach Agnos to first baseman Troy Johnston.
Win probability
Giants0%
COL 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 6 – 7 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 49.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+116 / -124
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rafael Devers homers (25) on a fly ball to right field. Buddy Kennedy scores. Drew Gilbert scores. (inning 2) — +36% Giants
7Brett Sullivan homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Connor Norby scores. Jordan Beck scores.13–7
6Mickey Moniak singles on a line drive to left fielder Turner Hill. Adael Amador scores. Jake McCarthy scores. Cole Carrigg to 3rd. Mickey Moniak to 2nd. Mickey Moniak advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by left fielder Turner Hill.10–7
6Cole Carrigg hit by pitch. Jordan Beck scores. Adael Amador to 3rd. Jake McCarthy to 2nd.8–7
6Adael Amador walks.7–7
5Buddy Kennedy walks. Bryce Eldridge scores. Osleivis Basabe to 3rd. Drew Cavanaugh to 2nd.6–7
5Mickey Moniak out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Jake McCarthy scores. Cole Carrigg to 3rd.6–6
5Cole Carrigg doubles (15) on a ground ball to left fielder Turner Hill. Adael Amador scores. Jake McCarthy to 3rd.5–6
3Turner Hill singles on a line drive to right fielder Zac Veen. Osleivis Basabe scores.4–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.