Reds at Giants
Last play · Eugenio Suárez called out on strikes.
Win probability
Giants100%
CIN 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 0 – 3 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 8 ↓
fair over 52.7% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -118
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Drew Cavanaugh singles on a ground ball to center fielder TJ Friedl. Drew Gilbert scores. Rafael Devers scores. Jung Hoo Lee to 3rd. (inning 1) — +17% Giants
9Sal Stewart homers (28) on a fly ball to right field.1–3
5Rafael Devers homers (28) on a fly ball to right center field.0–3
1Drew Cavanaugh singles on a ground ball to center fielder TJ Friedl. Drew Gilbert scores. Rafael Devers scores. Jung Hoo Lee to 3rd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
