Reds at Giants
Last play · Christian Koss strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Giants0%
CIN 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 2 – 4 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 8 ↓
fair over 52.7% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -118
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Trevino out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Grant McCray. Dane Myers scores. Matt McLain to 3rd. (inning 9) — -38% Reds
9Tyler Stephenson singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Turner Hill. Matt McLain scores.10–9
9Jose Trevino out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Grant McCray. Dane Myers scores. Matt McLain to 3rd.9–9
9Eugenio Suárez hits a grand slam (19) to left center field. Elly De La Cruz scores. Sal Stewart scores. JJ Bleday scores.8–9
9Héctor Rodríguez homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.4–9
8Drew Gilbert doubles (13) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Dane Myers. Turner Hill scores. Andrew Knizner scores. Grant McCray scores.3–9
7Giants challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Sal Stewart out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jonah Cox. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Héctor Rodríguez to 3rd. Elly De La Cruz to 2nd.3–6
6Shay Whitcomb homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Christian Koss scores.2–6
5Rafael Devers homers (29) on a fly ball to right field. Jonah Cox scores.2–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
