Yankees at Mariners
Last play · Randy Arozarena grounds out, shortstop José Caballero to first baseman Ben Rice.
Win probability
Mariners0%
NYY 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 2 – 0 SEA
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 47.4% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Mariners favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ben Rice doubles (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Victor Robles. Cody Bellinger scores. (inning 1) — -12% Yankees
6Jazz Chisholm Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Victor Robles. Ben Rice scores. Giancarlo Stanton to 3rd.5–0
6Giancarlo Stanton doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Cody Bellinger scores. Ben Rice to 3rd.4–0
6Ben Rice walks.3–0
1Giancarlo Stanton singles on a fly ball to right fielder Victor Robles. Ben Rice scores.2–0
1Ben Rice doubles (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Victor Robles. Cody Bellinger scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
