Yankees at Mariners
Last play · Cole Young flies out to right fielder Aaron Judge.
Win probability
Mariners0%
NYY 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 1 – 0 SEA
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 47.4% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Mariners favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Paul Goldschmidt homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Trent Grisham scores. Ben Rice scores. (inning 6) — -28% Yankees
9Dominic Canzone singles on a line drive to right fielder Aaron Judge. Randy Arozarena scores.5–3
9Ben Rice homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.5–2
8Cal Raleigh singles on a line drive to right fielder Aaron Judge. Dominic Canzone scores. Cole Young scores. Brendan Donovan to 3rd.4–2
6Paul Goldschmidt homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Trent Grisham scores. Ben Rice scores.4–0
1Ben Rice doubles (3) on a ground ball to right fielder Luke Raley. Cody Bellinger scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
