Rangers at Mariners
Last play · Cole Young flies out to right fielder Brandon Nimmo.
Win probability
Mariners0%
TEX 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 2 – 0 SEA
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7 ↑
fair over 46.9% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+119 / -143
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Mariners favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wyatt Langford singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Corey Seager scores. (inning 3) — -12% Rangers
9Josh Jung doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Jake Burger scores.5–0
9Andrew McCutchen out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Wyatt Langford scores.4–0
7Jake Burger singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Corey Seager scores. Wyatt Langford to 2nd.3–0
3Wyatt Langford singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Corey Seager scores.2–0
1Brandon Nimmo homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
