Royals at Mariners

Scoreboard

KC4–SEA1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

T-Mobile Park · KC 15-19 · SEA 16-19

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
KC	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	0	4	8	0
SEA	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	1

Last play · Cole Young strikes out swinging, catcher Carter Jensen to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.

Win probability

Mariners0%

KC 100%SEA 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

KC 3 – 1 SEA

Royals led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 8 ↓

fair over 51.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-105 / -115

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Mariners favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jac Caglianone grounds into a force out, first baseman Josh Naylor to shortstop J.P. Crawford. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. Salvador Perez to 3rd. Carter Jensen out at 2nd. Jac Caglianone to 1st. (inning 4) — -14% Royals

Scoring plays

KC–SEA · 5 total

6Isaac Collins doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Jac Caglianone scores.4–1

4Royals challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Isaac Collins out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Salvador Perez scores.3–1

4Jac Caglianone grounds into a force out, first baseman Josh Naylor to shortstop J.P. Crawford. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. Salvador Perez to 3rd. Carter Jensen out at 2nd. Jac Caglianone to 1st.2–1

4Carter Jensen walks. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Vinnie Pasquantino to 3rd. Salvador Perez to 2nd.1–1

3Josh Naylor grounds into a force out, first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. Leo Rivas scores. Julio Rodríguez out at 2nd. Josh Naylor to 1st.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.