Padres at Mariners

Scoreboard

SD7–SEA4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

T-Mobile Park · SD 27-18 · SEA 22-25

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SD	0	1	0	4	0	0	2	0	0	7	7	0
SEA	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	4	8	0

Last play · Josh Naylor grounds out, first baseman Gavin Sheets to pitcher Jeremiah Estrada.

Win probability

Mariners0%

SD 100%SEA 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

SD 5 – 2 SEA

Padres led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7

opened 7

fair over 51.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+144 / -175

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Mariners favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Gavin Sheets homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 2) — -20% Padres

Scoring plays

SD–SEA · 8 total

8Cole Young grounds into a force out, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to second baseman Sung-Mun Song. Josh Naylor scores. Randy Arozarena out at 2nd. Cole Young to 1st.7–4

8Randy Arozarena singles on a ground ball to second baseman Sung-Mun Song. Julio Rodríguez scores. Josh Naylor to 3rd.7–3

7Rodolfo Durán homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Ramón Laureano scores.7–2

5J.P. Crawford homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.5–2

4Cole Young singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Josh Naylor scores. Luke Raley to 2nd.5–1

4Nick Castellanos homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Xander Bogaerts scores. Miguel Andujar scores.5–0

4Miguel Andujar grounds into a force out, fielded by third baseman Leo Rivas. Manny Machado scores. Gavin Sheets out at 3rd. Xander Bogaerts to 2nd. Miguel Andujar to 1st.2–0

2Gavin Sheets homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.