Padres at Mariners

Scoreboard

SD8–SEA3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

T-Mobile Park · SD 28-18 · SEA 22-26

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SD	1	0	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	8	10	2
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	3	1	0

Last play · Mitch Garver strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Mariners0%

SD 100%SEA 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

SD 2 – 0 SEA

Padres led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7

opened 7.5 ↓

fair over 52.9% · hold 4.6%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+126 / -153

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Mariners favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Gavin Sheets homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Miguel Andujar scores. (inning 6) — -14% Padres

Scoring plays

SD–SEA · 8 total

7Gavin Sheets doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.8–3

6Rob Refsnyder out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Ramón Laureano. Julio Rodríguez scores. Josh Naylor to 3rd.7–3

6Randy Arozarena out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Leo Rivas scores. Julio Rodríguez to 3rd.7–2

6Josh Naylor walks. Colt Emerson scores. Leo Rivas to 3rd. Julio Rodríguez to 2nd.7–1

6Ty France singles on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Jackson Merrill scores. Ramón Laureano scores.7–0

6Jackson Merrill doubles (9) on a fly ball to right fielder Luke Raley. Manny Machado scores.5–0

6Gavin Sheets homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Miguel Andujar scores.4–0

5Ty France singles on a line drive to right fielder Luke Raley. Xander Bogaerts scores.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.