Twins at Mariners

Scoreboard

MIN3–SEA4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

T-Mobile Park · MIN 56-56 · SEA 54-58

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIN	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	3	7	0
SEA	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	7	0

Last play · Cal Raleigh grounds out to first baseman Royce Lewis. Randy Arozarena scores. Julio Rodríguez to 2nd.

Win probability

Mariners100%

MIN 0%SEA 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIN 1 – 3 SEA

Mariners led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7

opened 8 ↓

fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+142 / -172

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Mariners favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Victor Caratini grounds out softly, third baseman Weston Wilson to first baseman Josh Naylor. Brooks Lee scores. (inning 7) — -22% Twins

Scoring plays

MIN–SEA · 7 total

9Cal Raleigh grounds out to first baseman Royce Lewis. Randy Arozarena scores. Julio Rodríguez to 2nd.3–4

7Victor Caratini grounds out softly, third baseman Weston Wilson to first baseman Josh Naylor. Brooks Lee scores.3–3

6Trevor Larnach homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field.2–3

5Luke Keaschall homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.1–3

2Randy Arozarena homers (14) on a fly ball to left field.0–3

1Mitch Garver walks. Randy Arozarena scores. Dominic Canzone to 3rd. Julio Rodríguez to 2nd.0–2

1Julio Rodríguez singles on a ground ball to shortstop Ryan Kreidler. Cole Young scores. Randy Arozarena to 3rd. Dominic Canzone to 2nd.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.