Tigers at Mariners
DET8–
SEA0Last play · Dillon Dingler challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Brendan Donovan called out on strikes.
Win probability
Mariners0%
DET 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 4 – 0 SEA
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+136 / -144
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Mariners favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colt Keith singles on a line drive to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Dillon Dingler scores. Riley Greene scores. (inning 3) — -21% Tigers
9Dillon Dingler homers (24) on a fly ball to right center field.8–0
9Gleyber Torres homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Zach McKinstry scores.7–0
9Kevin McGonigle grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor. Javier Báez scores. Zach McKinstry to 2nd.5–0
5Riley Greene homers (16) on a fly ball to center field.4–0
3Colt Keith singles on a line drive to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Dillon Dingler scores. Riley Greene scores.3–0
3Riley Greene singles on a ground ball to shortstop Colt Emerson. Gleyber Torres scores. Dillon Dingler to 3rd. Riley Greene to 2nd. Throwing error by shortstop Colt Emerson.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.