Tigers at Mariners
Last play · Max Clark grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.
Win probability
Mariners100%
DET 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 0 – 0 SEA
Tied through 5
Total runs
8
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+102 / -110
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Mariners favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Julio Rodríguez homers (17) on a fly ball to right field. Randy Arozarena scores. Dominic Canzone scores. (inning 6) — +36% Mariners
8Colt Emerson homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.2–4
8Dillon Dingler homers (25) on a fly ball to center field. Gleyber Torres scores.2–3
6Julio Rodríguez homers (17) on a fly ball to right field. Randy Arozarena scores. Dominic Canzone scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
