Cubs at Mariners

Scoreboard

CHC4–SEA5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

T-Mobile Park · CHC 74-56 · SEA 62-68

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CHC	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	4	7	0
SEA	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	5	8	0

Last play · Randy Arozarena homers (19) on a fly ball to center field. Leo Rivas scores.

Win probability

Mariners100%

CHC 0%SEA 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

CHC 1 – 2 SEA

Mariners led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 8 ↓

fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+110 / -118

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Mariners favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Randy Arozarena homers (19) on a fly ball to center field. Leo Rivas scores. (inning 9) — +55% Mariners

Scoring plays

CHC–SEA · 8 total

9Randy Arozarena homers (19) on a fly ball to center field. Leo Rivas scores.4–5

9Leo Rivas singles on a fly ball to right fielder Tyrone Taylor. Weston Wilson scores.4–3

6Tyrone Taylor hits a ground-rule double (10) on a line drive down the left-field line. Nico Hoerner scores.4–2

6Michael Busch homers (16) on a fly ball to center field.3–2

6Alex Bregman homers (19) on a fly ball to center field.2–2

5Dominic Canzone grounds into a force out, second baseman Pedro Ramírez to shortstop Nico Hoerner. Weston Wilson scores. Leo Rivas to 3rd. Randy Arozarena out at 2nd. Dominic Canzone to 1st.1–2

5Kevin Alcántara out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Tyrone Taylor scores.1–1

1Randy Arozarena homers (18) on a fly ball to center field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.