Mets at Cardinals
Last play · Masyn Winn singles on a pop up to second baseman Marcus Semien. JJ Wetherholt scores.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
NYM 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 0 – 0 STL
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-161 / +133
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Cardinals favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tobias Myers intentionally walks Iván Herrera. (inning 11) — +18% Cardinals
11Masyn Winn singles on a pop up to second baseman Marcus Semien. JJ Wetherholt scores.1–2
6Nolan Gorman singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Luis Robert Jr. JJ Wetherholt scores. Iván Herrera to 3rd.1–1
6Juan Soto homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
