Guardians at Cardinals
Last play · Jordan Walker flies out to right fielder Angel Martínez.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
CLE 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 4 – 1 STL
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-122 / +102
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Cardinals favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Daniel Schneemann singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker, deflected by second baseman JJ Wetherholt. José Ramírez scores. Rhys Hoskins scores. David Fry to 3rd. (inning 4) — -26% Guardians
8Pedro Pagés out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Steven Kwan. Jordan Walker scores.9–3
8Steven Kwan singles on a line drive to left fielder Thomas Saggese. Juan Brito scores. Brayan Rocchio scores.9–2
8Brayan Rocchio singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher Ryan Fernandez. David Fry scores. Juan Brito to 3rd. Brayan Rocchio to 2nd. Throwing error by pitcher Ryan Fernandez.7–2
6Jordan Walker homers (8) on a line drive to left center field.6–2
6Brayan Rocchio homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Austin Hedges scores.6–1
4Austin Hedges out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Nathan Church. David Fry scores. Daniel Schneemann to 2nd.4–1
4Daniel Schneemann singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker, deflected by second baseman JJ Wetherholt. José Ramírez scores. Rhys Hoskins scores. David Fry to 3rd.3–1
1Alec Burleson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Angel Martínez. JJ Wetherholt scores. Iván Herrera to 2nd.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
