Guardians at Cardinals
Last play · Nathan Church out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Angel Martínez. Thomas Saggese scores.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
CLE 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 2 STL
Tied through 5
Total runs
9
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-131 / +109
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Cardinals favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yohel Pozo doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Angel Martínez. Masyn Winn scores. (inning 9) — +42% Cardinals
10Nathan Church out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Angel Martínez. Thomas Saggese scores.5–6
9Yohel Pozo doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Angel Martínez. Masyn Winn scores.5–5
8JJ Wetherholt homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. José Fermín scores.5–4
8Angel Martínez doubles (4) on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Kyle Manzardo scores. Juan Brito scores.5–2
8George Valera doubles (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Thomas Saggese. José Ramírez scores. Kyle Manzardo to 3rd.3–2
3JJ Wetherholt homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.2–2
2Daniel Schneemann homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.2–1
1Iván Herrera homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
