Guardians at Cardinals

Scoreboard

CLE3–STL5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Busch Stadium · CLE 10-9 · STL 10-8

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CLE	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	8	0
STL	0	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	·	5	9	0

Last play · Juan Brito grounds out, second baseman JJ Wetherholt to first baseman Alec Burleson.

Win probability

Cardinals100%

CLE 0%STL 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

CLE 1 – 1 STL

Tied through 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 8 ↑

fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-110 / -110

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cardinals favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓

Biggest swing · JJ Wetherholt out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Chase DeLauter. Masyn Winn scores. Nathan Church to 3rd. Victor Scott II to 2nd. (inning 6) — +19% Cardinals

Scoring plays

CLE–STL · 6 total

7Nathan Church doubles (1) on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Chase DeLauter. Ramón Urías scores.3–5

7Bo Naylor doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. Rhys Hoskins scores. Daniel Schneemann scores.3–4

6Alec Burleson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Steven Kwan, deflected by shortstop Brayan Rocchio. Nathan Church scores. Victor Scott II scores. Iván Herrera to 3rd.1–4

6JJ Wetherholt out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Chase DeLauter. Masyn Winn scores. Nathan Church to 3rd. Victor Scott II to 2nd.1–2

2Pedro Pagés singles on a ground ball to left fielder George Valera. Nathan Church scores. Pedro Pagés to 2nd.1–1

1Kyle Manzardo singles on a line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. José Ramírez scores.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.