Mariners at Cardinals

Scoreboard

SEA3–STL2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Busch Stadium · SEA 14-15 · STL 14-13

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SEA	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	8	0
STL	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	7	0

Last play · JJ Wetherholt pops out to third baseman Leo Rivas in foul territory.

Win probability

Cardinals0%

SEA 100%STL 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

SEA 1 – 1 STL

Tied through 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8 ↑

fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-130 / +108

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cardinals favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓

Biggest swing · Rob Refsnyder homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 9) — -34% Mariners

Scoring plays

SEA–STL · 5 total

9Rob Refsnyder homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.3–2

7Cole Young singles on a fly ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Connor Joe scores.2–2

6Nathan Church homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.1–2

4Cal Raleigh homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1

3JJ Wetherholt homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.