Dodgers at Cardinals
Last play · Pedro Pagés challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Pedro Pagés called out on strikes.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
LAD 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 3 – 0 STL
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
10
opened 9 ↑
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-143 / +119
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Cardinals favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andy Pages doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to left fielder José Fermín. Kyle Tucker scores. Max Muncy to 3rd. (inning 2) — -15% Dodgers
9Alex Call singles on a ground ball to left fielder José Fermín. Andy Pages scores.4–1
8Alec Burleson singles on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Jordan Walker scores.3–1
5Freddie Freeman singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Nathan Church. Hyeseong Kim scores.3–0
2Hyeseong Kim singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Max Muncy scores. Andy Pages to 3rd.2–0
2Andy Pages doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to left fielder José Fermín. Kyle Tucker scores. Max Muncy to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
