Pirates at Cardinals

Scoreboard

PIT6–STL9

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Busch Stadium · PIT 24-24 · STL 28-19

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
PIT	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	2	0	6	12	0
STL	0	0	2	1	0	2	0	1	0	3	9	9	2

Last play · Iván Herrera homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Victor Scott II scores. JJ Wetherholt scores.

Win probability

Cardinals100%

PIT 0%STL 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 4 – 3 STL

Pirates led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 50.2% · hold 4.8%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-110 / -110

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cardinals favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Spencer Horwitz singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Nathan Church. Konnor Griffin scores. Oneil Cruz to 2nd. (inning 9) — -38% Pirates

Scoring plays

PIT–STL · 8 total

10Iván Herrera homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Victor Scott II scores. JJ Wetherholt scores.6–9

9Spencer Horwitz singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Nathan Church. Konnor Griffin scores. Oneil Cruz to 2nd.6–6

9Marcell Ozuna grounds into a double play, shortstop Thomas Saggese to second baseman JJ Wetherholt to first baseman Alec Burleson. Nick Gonzales scores. Konnor Griffin to 3rd. Bryan Reynolds out at 2nd. Marcell Ozuna out at 1st.5–6

8Alec Burleson homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.4–6

6Nolan Gorman homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Alec Burleson scores.4–5

5Oneil Cruz singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Bryan Reynolds scores. Marcell Ozuna to 3rd. Oneil Cruz to 2nd.4–3

5Bryan Reynolds doubles (7) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Nathan Church. Jared Triolo scores. Nick Gonzales scores.3–3

5Konnor Griffin called out on strikes.1–3

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.