Pirates at Cardinals

Scoreboard

PIT7–STL0

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Busch Stadium · PIT 25-24 · STL 28-20

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	4	0	7	15	0
STL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0

Last play · Nathan Church strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Cardinals0%

PIT 100%STL 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 2 – 0 STL

Pirates led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 7.5

fair over 49.9% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-102 / -118

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cardinals favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Spencer Horwitz homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 2) — -15% Pirates

Scoring plays

PIT–STL · 6 total

8Bryan Reynolds doubles (8) on a line drive to left fielder José Fermín. Jake Mangum scores. Nick Gonzales scores.7–0

8Nick Gonzales singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Endy Rodríguez scores. Jake Mangum to 2nd.5–0

8Jake Mangum singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Konnor Griffin scores. Endy Rodríguez to 3rd.4–0

6Nick Gonzales out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jordan Walker. Konnor Griffin scores. Endy Rodríguez to 3rd.3–0

4Jhostynxon Garcia singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Konnor Griffin scores. Endy Rodríguez to 2nd.2–0

2Spencer Horwitz homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.