Pirates at Cardinals

Scoreboard

PIT6–STL2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Busch Stadium · PIT 26-24 · STL 28-21

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	1	0	0	1	0	2	2	0	0	6	10	0
STL	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	8	0

Last play · Yohel Pozo grounds into a double play, third baseman Jared Triolo to second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Spencer Horwitz. Pedro Pagés out at 2nd. Yohel Pozo out at 1st.

Win probability

Cardinals0%

PIT 100%STL 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 2 – 1 STL

Pirates led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7

opened 7.5 ↓

fair over 50.5% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-120 / -101

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cardinals favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Marcell Ozuna singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder José Fermín. Spencer Horwitz scores. Konnor Griffin scores. (inning 6) — -24% Pirates

Scoring plays

PIT–STL · 7 total

8Jordan Walker singles on a line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Iván Herrera scores. Alec Burleson to 2nd.6–2

7Bryan Reynolds grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Alec Burleson. Oneil Cruz scores. Brandon Lowe to 2nd.6–1

7Henry Davis homers (3) on a line drive to left field.5–1

6Marcell Ozuna singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder José Fermín. Spencer Horwitz scores. Konnor Griffin scores.4–1

4Jake Mangum grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman JJ Wetherholt. Konnor Griffin scores. Marcell Ozuna out at 2nd. Jake Mangum to 1st.2–1

3Iván Herrera homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1

1Brandon Lowe homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.