Cubs at Cardinals

Scoreboard

CHC1–STL5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Busch Stadium · CHC 32-28 · STL 31-26

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CHC	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	7	0
STL	2	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	·	5	8	0

Last play · Michael Conforto flies out sharply to center fielder Victor Scott II.

Win probability

Cardinals100%

CHC 0%STL 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

CHC 0 – 5 STL

Cardinals led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 9 ↓

fair over 51.2% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-101 / -120

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cardinals favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Masyn Winn singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Iván Herrera scores. Alec Burleson scores. (inning 3) — +10% Cardinals

Scoring plays

CHC–STL · 5 total

6Alex Bregman homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.1–5

3Masyn Winn singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Iván Herrera scores. Alec Burleson scores.0–5

3Alec Burleson singles on a fly ball to left fielder Ian Happ. JJ Wetherholt scores. Iván Herrera to 3rd. Alec Burleson to 2nd.0–3

1Alec Burleson pops out, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman Michael Busch. Iván Herrera scores. Nelson Velázquez to 2nd.0–2

1Jordan Walker singles on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. JJ Wetherholt scores. Iván Herrera to 2nd.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.