Rangers at Cardinals
Last play · Nolan Gorman strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
TEX 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 2 – 0 STL
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 47.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-131 / +109
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Cardinals favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Masyn Winn homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 6) — +16% Cardinals
6Masyn Winn homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
5Joc Pederson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Danny Jansen scores. Nicky Lopez to 3rd.2–0
4Ezequiel Duran doubles (13) on a line drive to left fielder Bryan Torres. Brandon Nimmo scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
