Reds at Cardinals

Scoreboard

CIN3–STL10

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Busch Stadium · CIN 31-31 · STL 33-28

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CIN	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	9	3
STL	2	0	1	0	1	6	0	0	·	10	10	0

Last play · JJ Bleday strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Cardinals100%

CIN 0%STL 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

CIN 3 – 4 STL

Cardinals led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 9.5 ↓

fair over 51% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+105 / -126

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cardinals favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓

Biggest swing · Sal Stewart doubles (13) on a line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. Blake Dunn scores. Spencer Steer scores. (inning 1) — -21% Reds

Scoring plays

CIN–STL · 8 total

6Victor Scott II walks. Masyn Winn scores. José Fermín to 3rd. Jimmy Crooks to 2nd.3–10

6Jimmy Crooks walks. Bryan Torres scores. Masyn Winn to 3rd. José Fermín to 2nd.3–9

6José Fermín singles on a ground ball to shortstop Edwin Arroyo, deflected by third baseman Eugenio Suárez. Alec Burleson scores. Bryan Torres to 3rd. Masyn Winn to 2nd.3–8

6Masyn Winn hit by pitch. Iván Herrera scores. Alec Burleson to 3rd. Bryan Torres to 2nd.3–7

6Iván Herrera singles on a line drive to right fielder Noelvi Marte. Lars Nootbaar scores.3–6

6Lars Nootbaar doubles (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Blake Dunn. Victor Scott II scores.3–5

5Jordan Walker doubles (12) on a line drive to center fielder Blake Dunn. Alec Burleson scores.3–4

3Alec Burleson homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.3–3

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.