Reds at Cardinals

Scoreboard

CIN5–STL6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Busch Stadium · CIN 31-32 · STL 34-28

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CIN	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	5	9	0
STL	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	·	6	13	1

Last play · Sal Stewart grounds out, second baseman Bryan Torres to first baseman Alec Burleson.

Win probability

Cardinals100%

CIN 0%STL 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

CIN 5 – 4 STL

Reds led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 9.5 ↓

fair over 51% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+105 / -126

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cardinals favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓

Biggest swing · Lars Nootbaar homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. José Fermín scores. (inning 8) — +61% Cardinals

Scoring plays

CIN–STL · 7 total

8Lars Nootbaar homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. José Fermín scores.5–6

5Jordan Walker homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field.5–4

4Matt McLain homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Blake Dunn scores.5–3

3Spencer Steer out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Nelson Velázquez. Dane Myers scores.3–3

3JJ Bleday reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Alec Burleson. Noelvi Marte scores. Matt McLain scores. Dane Myers to 3rd. JJ Bleday to 2nd.2–3

2Masyn Winn singles on a ground ball to center fielder Dane Myers. José Fermín scores. Bryan Torres scores. Victor Scott II to 3rd.0–3

2Victor Scott II singles on a fly ball to right fielder Noelvi Marte. Alec Burleson scores. José Fermín to 3rd. Bryan Torres to 2nd.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.