Padres at Cardinals

Scoreboard

SD2–STL3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Busch Stadium · SD 37-35 · STL 40-31

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SD	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	4	0
STL	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	·	3	8	0

Last play · Xander Bogaerts grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Alec Burleson.

Win probability

Cardinals100%

SD 0%STL 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

SD 1 – 3 STL

Cardinals led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-106 / -114

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cardinals favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jackson Merrill doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Nathan Church. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. (inning 6) — -14% Padres

Scoring plays

SD–STL · 5 total

6Jackson Merrill doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Nathan Church. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.2–3

5Lars Nootbaar out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Iván Herrera scores.1–3

5Ty France singles on a line drive to center fielder Nathan Church. Samad Taylor scores. Ty France out at 2nd on the throw, center fielder Nathan Church to catcher Iván Herrera to shortstop Masyn Winn.1–2

2Nathan Church singles on a line drive to right fielder Samad Taylor. Blaze Jordan scores.0–2

2Blaze Jordan doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Gavin Sheets. Lars Nootbaar scores.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.