Padres at Cardinals

Scoreboard

SD6–STL1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Busch Stadium · SD 38-35 · STL 40-32

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SD	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	3	6	14	0
STL	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	6	1

Last play · Pedro Pagés grounds out, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to first baseman Ty France.

Win probability

Cardinals0%

SD 100%STL 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

SD 3 – 1 STL

Padres led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

10

opened 10.5 ↓

fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+105 / -126

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cardinals favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Alec Burleson singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Nathan Church scores. Iván Herrera to 2nd. (inning 5) — +13% Cardinals

Scoring plays

SD–STL · 6 total

9Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Jackson Merrill homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Samad Taylor scores.6–1

9Padres challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Sung-Mun Song scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Jordan Walker to shortstop Masyn Winn.4–1

5Alec Burleson singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Nathan Church scores. Iván Herrera to 2nd.3–1

5Fernando Tatis Jr. doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Nathan Church. Will Wagner scores.3–0

4Xander Bogaerts singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Manny Machado scores.2–0

1Manny Machado out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jordan Walker. Samad Taylor scores.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.