D-backs at Cardinals

Scoreboard

AZ9–STL4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Busch Stadium · AZ 41-39 · STL 42-36

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
AZ	0	0	0	6	0	0	2	1	0	9	12	0
STL	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	4	8	1

Last play · JJ Wetherholt grounds out, second baseman Ildemaro Vargas to first baseman LuJames Groover.

Win probability

Cardinals0%

AZ 100%STL 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

AZ 6 – 2 STL

D-backs led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 9

fair over 51.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-102 / -118

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cardinals favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Ildemaro Vargas doubles (11) on a line drive to left fielder Nelson Velázquez. Nolan Arenado scores. Tommy Troy scores. (inning 4) — -26% D-backs

Scoring plays

AZ–STL · 8 total

9Blaze Jordan singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jorge Barrosa. Lars Nootbaar scores.9–4

9José Fermín homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.9–3

8Gabriel Moreno out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. LuJames Groover scores.9–2

7Lourdes Gurriel Jr. doubles (6) on a ground ball to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Tommy Troy scores.8–2

7Tommy Troy hits a ground-rule double (3) on a line drive to right-center field. Gabriel Moreno scores.7–2

4Blaze Jordan out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tommy Troy. José Fermín scores.6–2

4Ketel Marte homers (13) on a line drive to left center field.6–1

4LuJames Groover homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Ildemaro Vargas scores.5–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.