Marlins at Cardinals

Scoreboard

MIA4–STL0

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Busch Stadium · MIA 43-39 · STL 42-37

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	4	8	0
STL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0

Last play · Lars Nootbaar grounds out, second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Kyle Stowers.

Win probability

Cardinals0%

MIA 100%STL 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIA 0 – 0 STL

Tied through 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 51.3% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+118 / -142

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cardinals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Graham Pauley doubles (7) on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Esteury Ruiz scores. (inning 8) — -26% Marlins

Scoring plays

MIA–STL · 3 total

9Jakob Marsee singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Nathan Church. Joe Mack scores. Esteury Ruiz scores.4–0

8Marlins challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Kyle Stowers grounds out to first baseman Alec Burleson. Graham Pauley scores. Griffin Conine to 3rd. Xavier Edwards to 2nd.2–0

8Graham Pauley doubles (7) on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Esteury Ruiz scores.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.