Marlins at Cardinals

Scoreboard

MIA5–STL1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Busch Stadium · MIA 44-39 · STL 42-38

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIA	1	0	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	5	13	0
STL	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	7	0

Last play · Nathan Church grounds out sharply, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Kyle Stowers.

Win probability

Cardinals0%

MIA 100%STL 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIA 4 – 0 STL

Marlins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 51.3% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+118 / -142

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cardinals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Kyle Stowers singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Otto Lopez scores. (inning 1) — -12% Marlins

Scoring plays

MIA–STL · 6 total

7Otto Lopez singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Xavier Edwards scores. Otto Lopez to 2nd.5–1

6Masyn Winn singles on a ground ball to right fielder Owen Caissie. Jordan Walker scores. Lars Nootbaar to 2nd.4–1

4Xavier Edwards singles on a ground ball to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Javier Sanoja scores. Xavier Edwards out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Lars Nootbaar to third baseman Bryan Torres to second baseman JJ Wetherholt.4–0

4Javier Sanoja singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Jakob Marsee scores.3–0

3Kyle Stowers singles on a ground ball to center fielder Nathan Church, deflected by shortstop Masyn Winn. Joe Mack scores.2–0

1Kyle Stowers singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Otto Lopez scores.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.